Since the end of the Iran-Iraq War in 1988, Iran has largely pursued a strategy of deterrence. Its ground forces, which number roughly 450,000, are trained and equipped to fight a prolonged, asymmetric defensive battle on its own territory. Likewise, Iran's air force can protect high value domestic targets such as the Natanz uranium enrichment facility and numerous military and political headquarters inside Tehran; it is incapable of long-range strike missions abroad. Which is why there has been no preemptive strike by the United States against Iran having Nuclear long range capability. Iran simply does not possess the capability to project hard power into neighboring states.
The serious Iranian immediate threat is to start attacking Persian Gulf oil shipments. The OPEC prices are fearing a global economic disaster that World leaders are not prepared to handle at the moment. In any case, we have recently increased our Navy fleet out there in the Persian Gulf just to prevent Iran from stopping the oil flow, and I’m sure they’ll be very good at it. Also on the other side of that gulf, and the owner of most of those ships, is Saudi Arabia, their worst enemy.Iran may also launch its army into Iraq, so that might put a hold on the plan to pull out the 400,000 United States troops there.
The Allie to Iran, China, Foreign Ministry weighed in on the widespread anxiety over Iran's nuclear program on today, urging Iran to be flexible with the U.N. nuclear agency but staunchly deploring force amid talk of strikes against the country. Hong Lei, the ministry spokesman, made the comments, state-run news agency Xinhua said on Friday. They come ahead of a report on Iran's nuclear program expected to be released next week by the International Atomic Energy Agency. "As a member of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, Iran should fulfill the relevant international obligations," Hong told reporters.
Due to a diplomacy relationship between The United States and China the United States military wouldn’t be green-lighting this War operation by Israel. Most Republican Candidates have been publicly commenting on the battle that is yet to come. Rick Perry said "As a Christian I have a clear directive to support Israel." Herman Cain said "If You Mess With Israel, You're Messing With the USA." Mitt Romney said "The right course for us is not to try and negotiate forIsrael. ... that we will stay with them and that we will support them and defend them."
I’d like to know just what ships we have in that gulf right now. I heard on CNN today a reporter today say we had over 30 Navy ships sent there recently, but I haven't been able to Google that factually written, I guess that is probably supposed to be classified? I do know that the Saudis months ago gave Israel free passage through their skies to attack Iran. Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta was quoted October 24th that "we’re going to strengthen our presence in the Pacific.” Were sending a clear signal that the United States opposes China’s claims to island territories far beyond its shores. So the U.S. is pivoting eastward to address are uneasy Allies before this crises takes place. Looks like all the ducks are lining up nicely.
The Iranian navy plans to provoke the United States by moving Iran naval vessels out of the Persian Gulf and into the Atlantic Ocean, "near maritime borders of the United States," the Tehran Times reported Tuesday.Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari a top Iranian Naval officer told the Tehran Times that “As the global arrogance (forces of imperialism) have a (military) presence near our sea borders, we also plan to have a strong presence near the U.S. sea borders with the help of the soldiers who are loyal to the vali-e faqih (supreme jurisprudent)."Iranians might face a challenge in refueling its fleet. Some in the Pentagon have speculated it could gas up in Venezuela, whose President, Hugo Chavez, is known to have a close relationship with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
President Barack Obama will be claiming the victory of this War because of our “secret” support and assistance, and there’s nothing like a war during an election year to assure a second term for an incumbent president. I think this is the only reason Obama is suddenly being supportive of Israel.
So how will all of this affect you? The price of oil will no doubt go up a bit but Iran only contributes maybe 5% of the total OPEC Global supply, so it won’t be much in the long term but will immediately go up very high due to the media fear mongering paranoia hysteria. So stay calm.
I think Israel will “accidentally” go beyond the agreed parameters of their assaults on Iran, the so-called Palestinians, and Hezbollah if they also attack, and really crush the hell out of them. Israel will suck every possible advantage against their enemies that they can get out of this, count on it. Could this be the Holy Bible biblical Holy War that is finally amongst us?
Sources: Google, Fox News, CNN, Tehran Times, W. Jonathan Rue., New York Times